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More stringent regulations in the US for the emissions of some air and water pollutants are also likely. In the environmental arena, some form of emission control of greenhouse gases from the energy sector will be agreed upon soon by the international community. It is also highly probable that the demand and consumption of energy from developing countries will soon surpass those of the US, Europe, and Japan, thus making them serious competitors for limited fossil fuel resources. It is highly likely that the trend of deregulating the energy sector will continue, with electricity deregulation a virtual certainty. Given the experiences of the past and the lessons learned from these experiences, what might the future bring? Some predictions can be made with considerable confidence. Rather, the more appropriate goal seems to be development of a robust and flexible energy system that can evolve and adjust to changing conditions.
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Governmental attempts to predict and then prescribe the development of the future energy system are bound to meet with limited, if any, success. Third, it is difficult for government to tamper with energy markets and achieve the desired results.The energy system has shown itself to be a complex adaptive system that adjusts to even the most strenuous burdens in ways that are not easy to predict. The experience with natural gas, in which a regulatory change (deregulation) was combined with technology developments (horizontal drilling and improved gas turbines for electricity generation) to increase available supply and hold prices down, has added to the confidence in the efficacy of technology fixes to solve energy and environmental problems. Americans expect that advanced technology can be relied upon to come up with solutions to energy and environmental problems without having to change their lifestyles. National research programs to produce an automobile that gets 80+ miles per gallon take higher priority over working to get people to use mass transit to reduce their driving mileage.
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This is evidenced by our reliance on moving low-sulfur coal more than 1,000 miles from Wyoming to burn in Illinois power plants rather than reducing the demand for electricity with energy-efficient measures in residential, commercial, and industrial activities. annual Illinois energy conference,Chicago, IL (United States),23- Other Information: PBD: Country of Publication: United States Language: English Subject: 32 ENERGY CONSERVATION, CONSUMPTION, AND UTILIZATION 29 ENERGY PLANNING, POLICY AND ECONOMY ENERGY PLANNING ENERGY POLICY ENVIRONMENT ENERGY EFFICIENCY TRANSPORTATION SECTOR ENERGY CONSUMPTION ELECTRIC UTILITIES PETROLEUM COAL NUCLEAR POWER REGULATIONS MARKET 320000 298000 290300 290200 ENERGY CONSERVATION, CONSUMPTION, AND UTILIZATION CONSUMPTION AND UTILIZATION ENVIRONMENT, HEALTH, AND SAFETY ECONOMICS AND = emissions), the preference is for a technology fix rather than a behavioral change. Energy Resources Center Sponsoring Org.: USDOE, Washington, DC (United States) Environmental Protection Agency, Washington, DC (United States) Illinois State Government, Springfield, IL (United States) Citizens Council on Energy Resources (United States) Chicago Association of Commerce and Industry, IL (United States) OSTI Identifier: 10115555 Report Number(s): DOE/CH/10538-1 CONF-9211151- ON: DE94005323 BR: 400408000/WM6006000 TRN: 94:003486 DOE Contract Number: FG02-92CH10538 Resource Type: Conference Resource Relation: Conference: 20. Publication Date: Thu Dec 31 00:00: Research Org.: Illinois Univ., Chicago, IL (United States).